Just because a critical failure hasn’t happened yet doesn’t mean it won’t happen in the future. The question becomes: If it ...

Prediction markets are ushering in a new era where collective judgement and "crowd wisdom" are no longer theoretical concepts ...

Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Standalone risk refers to the risk tied to a single unit or asset, isolated from a portfolio. Understand its significance with examples and measurement formulas.

Discover what ex-post means in finance, how it is calculated, and how it differs from ex-ante. Use historical data to better predict future investment returns.

Implied probability is a concept that has a huge impact on how you judge the value of a bet. It’s something that you often hear about, but most bettors don’t stop to properly unpack this concept. In ...

The original radar cross section data or some rough models are often used to estimate a given aircraft target detection probability. The calculation results may not be very accurate as targets are ...

When scientists spot an asteroid whose trajectory might take it close to Earth, they monitor it frequently and calculate the probability that it might collide with our planet.

The Nature Index 2025 Research Leaders — previously known as Annual Tables — reveal the leading institutions and countries/territories in the natural and health sciences, according to their output in ...